Breeders Cup Weekend

The long awaited Breeders Cup championship weekend is upon us, among all the glorious BC races is an Arabian Grade 1 race, the Grade 2 Twlight Derby, the Grade 3 Senator Ken Maddy stakes and four ungraded stakes, the Golden State Juvenile, Golden State Juvenile filly, the Domascus, and the Juvenile turf sprint stakes, let's see what we can do for the two days.

Day 1 

Race 1: 11-8-3

Race 2: 2-7-13

Race 3: 2-7-4 Golden State Juvenile

Race 4: 8-9-6 Golden State Juvenile Fillies

Race 5: 2-12-10 G2 Twilight Derby

Race 6: 4-7-9 G2 Breeders Cup Marathon 

Race 7: 5-4-13 G1 Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf 

Race 8: 10-6-12-2 G1 Breeders Cup Dirt Mile 

Race 9: 14-13-4 G1 Breeders Cup Juvenile Filly 

Race 10: 6-5-4 G1 Breeders Cup Distaff 

Race 11: 1-6-9 G1 President of the United Arab Emirates Cup 

DAY 2 

Race 1: 2-4-8

Race 2: 5-1-2 The Damascus S.

Race 3: 1-10-5 G2 Sen. Ken Maddy

Race 4: 10-7-9 G1 Breeders Cup Juvenile Filly 

Race 5: 3-7-8 G1 Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Turf

Race 6: 2-11-12 G1 Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Sprint 

Race 7: 4-12-3 G1 Geico Breeders Cup Turf Sprint

Race 8: 13-10-6 G1 Breeders Cup Juvenile 

Race 9: 10-7-8 G1 Breeders Cup Turf

Race 10: 7-1-11 G1 Xpressbet Breeders Cup Sprint 

Race 11:  8-10-5 G1 Breeders Cup Mile

Race 12: 9-6-8 G1 5 Million Dollar Breeders Cup Classic 

We've got 15 Horses to watch this time around, here ya go ! 

Day 1:

Race 2: #2 Got Even (6-1ML): This one looks pretty good to me, he should offer some value as I expect he'll be up to about 8-1 come race day, he's coming off three board hits including a show finish at the distance going here

Race 3: #2 Life is Joy (9-2ML): You're going to get an okay price on this horse, seems to be about the right price at 9-2 he's won all three of his only three races, owned and trained by the winningest trainer at Santa Anita, I think he should be able to get the job down here, and the rail post doesn't worry me with him, he should be a good bet. 

Race 4: #6 Harlingtons Rose (8-1ML): This filly ran fourth behind Secret Compass, She's a tiger, and Fascinating, three really nice fillies, and if she didn't dual she may have been able to hold on for second or third in that G1 event, 8-1 seems to be an overlay, she's got a good shot 

Race 6: #7 London Bridge (8-1ML): This ones shipping from her last race at France,  he seems to be a little out of form but he shouldn't have any problem here, he's a group 1 winner and looks real good. 

Race 8: #6 Broadway Empire (12-1ML): Looking to make the jump from multiple G3 winner to G1 winner, this three year old gelding by Empire Maker has won his last three including two G3 stakes, he's also a winner his only time at  the distance, In regular circumstances he'd have a lot tougher time pulling this one off, but Verrazanno and Goldencents have really terrible posts, I think if either one of them gets the lone lead they probably won't look back, but because there're so many horses they'll have to go really wide, and Broadway Empire will be able to save ground around the turns and should have a really good shot.

Race 9: #4 Kitten Kaboodle (12-1 ML): This Kittens Joy filly is a winner in three starts with two place finishes. Most tecently she won a G3 on the Keeneland 

turf which she won by 4 3/4 lengths, the favourites, besides My Conquestadory of course, look very beatable, this filly is a good one to play in your exactors, tris and supers. 

Race 9: #13 Sky Painter (15-1ML): This filly has done nothing but impress me since I saw her first race and beat a personal favourite of mine Super Sky, by 3/4ths of a length after hesitating at the break and having to go 3-4 wide, she then finished second in a G3 event to Testa Rossi who's also in this race, but had she not fanned 7 wide she would most likely have won, she was partnered with Dancing House on that day, they aren't partnered here but the two horses seem to drive each other, look for a big run from her, also one to play for value win bets, and exactor, triactor, and superfecta plays. 

Day 2: 

Race 2: #5 Anillo (8-1ML): This Gelding is very very consistent, but is with his 5th trainer already, he's hit the board 8 out of 9 times this year with four wins, he's never won a graded stake but looks strong here, favourites look week, sets up nice for him.

Race 4: #10 She's a Tiger (6-1ML): This filly has made me quite a bit of money, and I will be playing her to win here, she's a very nice looking filly by Tale of the Cat, she's a G1 Winner and multiple Graded Stakes Placed. She's most recently coming off a second place finish in a G1 here at Santa Anita, 6-1 is an overlay, I don't think many people will pick up on, and this is my one of three of my best bets.

Race 4: #7 Untapable (5-1ML): I absolutely love this filly, I watched her win her last race, a grade two event at the same distance they're going in this race, she looks really strong, she's really well bred, and she won that race even though she was rank early on in the race, her and she's a tiger should be close for the win. 

Race 5: #8 Emollient (12-1ML): Juddamonte farms owns this Empire Maker filly, she has two wins in her last four starts both being Grade 1 wins, most recently in the Spinster at Keeneland where she ran fantastically winning after having to go 5 wide on the second turn, she's definitely an overlay at 12-1 

Race 6: #12 Sweet LuLu (8-1ML): I can't seem to figure out the reasoning for the ML here, this filly is 5-4-1-0 lifetime, including a win in the G1 Test Stakes at Saratoga, and most recently second in the G1 Eugene Dixon, Jr Cotillon  Handicap, Leparoux gets the mount again, the outside post is the only thing that could derail her attempt at the win here. 

Race 9: #10 Big Blue Kitten (6-1ML):  Big Blue is in fantastic form having not missed these board since last June over seas at Ascot, and never before that, he won to Grade 1s in a row and then 2nd most recently in a Grade 1, he's a personal favourite of mine and he's a horse you could play anyway you liked, WPC, Multiple race bets, or in exotics, don't miss out here. He's the second of my three best bets. 

Race 11: #10 ZA Approval (15-1ML): Joel Rosario picks up the mount again on this horse, he's coming off an easy win in a grade three at Belmont, and a tough loss to Wise Dan in the Woodbine Mile, he just couldn't catch the amazing Miler and lost by 3 1/2 lengths, which isn't bad at all against Wise Dan, you will find alot of value in the horse, If he gets the trip Rosario should be able to give him, he'll be in contention.

Race 12: #8 Palace Malice (10-1ML):   This race sets up pretty well for this years Belmonts winner, he's coming off a second in the Jockey Club at Belmont, and an unlucky fourth in the Travers, the Curlin colt is up against some pretty tough horses here, he's been alright since exiting the Belmont, and he's been alright going 1 1/4, the second in the jockey club, the fourth in the Travers, and his poor effort in the Kentucky Derby, but he's done better going longer and he's done well going 1 and 1/8 so I really think he's got a shot if he can beat Game on Dude and Ron the Greek.

The third of my best bets is Wise Dan in Race 11, he will be a chalky one, best used in a multi race bet, or exotics 

Good luck Breeders cup betters !!! 

Saturday racing at Belmont and Woodbine

Well it's a great day for racing folks with good cards all over the place, Woodbine, Belmont, Santa Anita, and a pretty decent card at a keeneland, but the two best of the day seem to be Belmonts card with two grade three stakes and at woodbine with the two ungraded stakes at Woodbine, let's see what we can do. 

Belmont 

Race 1: 4-5-6

Race 2: 3-2-4

Race 3: 12-6-2

Race 4: 11-2-3

Race 5: 10-11-9

Race 6: 2-6-9

Race 7: 2-1-6

Race 8: 6-2-1 G3 Bold Ruler Handicap

Race 9: 2-6-7 G3 Turnback the Alarm Handicap

Race 10: 1-2-5

Woodbine

Race 1: 1-2-7

Race 2: 2-4-8

Race 3: 4-5-2

Race 4: 2-8-5

Race 5: 5-7-13

Race 6: 8-3-2 The Fanfreluche S.

Race 7: 10-11-7

Race 8: 7-3-8 The Ruling Angel S.

Race 9: 2-3-7

Race 10: 2-4-13

Horses to watch

Belmont Race 1: #4 Unprecedented (6-1ML)- I like this gelding here, the favourites look beatable, and he's coming off a win at the distance, and through 6 times at the distance he's only missed the board twice, he should be a decent price come post time and he's definitely worth a look. 

Woodbine Race 3: #4 Bowmans Causeway (8-1ML)- This ridgling by Giants Causeway is a personal favourite of mine, this one tries everytime out, he's in pretty good form right now, he's 4-1-0-1 but he's just missed third in his other two tries, he stands out to me in this field, he's going to have to get a great trip, but it looks like it's him or Turkish crossing the finish line first, if you don't like him to win, don't leave him out of your exotics. 

Woodbine race 7: #7 A Better Breeze (10-1ML), #12 Theogony (8-1ML)- Lets start with the 7 A better breeze coming from Sandy McPhersons barn, now this filly has just expieranced some bad luck and unlucky trips, with a better trip by tommy in her last race I know she would have done better, this looks like a tough field with Agawa the obvious choice, having beaten better than most of the field here, but she defiantly looks like an overlay at 10-1 and could be a surprise winner today. Another nice horse I have in this race is the 11 Theogony, I've played against this three year old filly a few times and she surprises me each time, she's an overlay at 8-1 and shouldn't need a fantastic trip to get up to win here, she's a great looking filly and she runs really well, given her record 7-1-1-0 you probably think I'm crazy, but in dr last race she lost to a really nice horse names Silent Treat, she only got beaten a length and a quarter, and she was still surging past the finish line, if Gary Boulanger rides her the same she could be a nice priced upset, she's a great exotic play. 

Woodbine race 8: #7 Silent Treat (8-1 ML)- How this filly is 8-1 on the ML is beyond me completely she's 8-3-4-0 for her young career, mostly an allowance runner this will be her first time in a stakes race, this filly is all speed and stamina, a rare combination, if she gets out front and doesn't have to dual expect her to win this easily, even if she duals I suspect she'll win the dual, she's just a game changing horse and anything better than 2-1 is worth a play here, 8-1 is just fantastic, don't miss out on this filly. 

Have a good day folks, and good luck. 

Closing day at Ajax downs

Well I hope everybody had a good thanksgiving and if your American I hope you have a good one when it comes around, you'll have to forgive me I dont remember when it is. Now I haven't been able to post on here since school started, however I'm seizing the opportunity to post on the last day of Ajax's season. Lets see what we can do here.

Race 1: 3-2-5
Race 2: 2-3-5
Race 3: 1-5-3
Race 4: 3-6-4
Race 5: 1-2-6
Race 6: 4-5-3
Race 7: 1-2-3
Race 8: 2-3-4
Race 9: 4-7-8-6
Race 10: 1-2-6

Horses to Watch

Race 5: #1 Corona Mon Coeur ( 10-1 ML ): I picked this longshot to finish first in a decent field here, and this is why, the horse is in fantastic form, hes coming off a second place finish, the 5th place finish the time before is totally excusable, 5th in behind 4 good horses who have all come back to run pretty well, at 10-1 on the ML, you should get a decent price on him.

Race 9: #6 Megas Pride ( 10-1 ML): Well I'm not normally a fan of Hunderup horses, however hes taking a semi big class drop and and the last time he won he was way higher in class, in around the same class as here, a speed index race, he finished 3rd but he was DQ'd to 8th after bothering another horse, but if he gets away clean he could be a factor here, definitely a horse to add some value to your exotics.

Race 10: #6 Wild Chanson (5-1 ML): This is a horse from my barn who's getting better and better with every race he runs, hes not been nearly as good as expected but with the way things are shaping up he should be a pretty good three year old. He's coming off a fourth place finish against three horses that are back here in the same race, however I think the second place finisher in that race, Mamacita, looks very beatable here and Wild Chanson should be able to beat her.

Good luck folks, enjoy closing day at Ajax downs

Belmont Park and Churchill Downs Saturday Racing

Well I've been pretty busy with school and what not starting, but I'm back for a really great Saturday card of racing at the start of the second half of the Belmont Park meet, and now the second day into the second half of the Churchill downs meet. On these cards is a combined 5 graded stakes including 2 Win-and- Your In to the Breeders Cup Juveniles graded stakes. Its gunna be a great day, lets see what we can do. (The Locust Grove Handicap is listed as a Grade 3 in the PP's but I can't find it on Equibase, I've just assumed it will be considered Grade 3.)

Belmont Park

Race 1: 4-7-5-8
Race 2: 5-4-3-1
Race 3: 1-6-2-3
Race 4: 3-5-6-2
Race 5: 5-8-3-1
Race 6: 6-1A-5-1
Race 7: 5-10-7-3
Race 8: 4-1-2-3 Grade 2 250k Bowling Lawn Handicap
Race 9: 2-7-5-1
Race 10: 10-8-12-9

Churchill Downs

Race 1: 1-4-5-6
Race 2: 2-1-6-3
Race 3: 4-1-8-7
Race 4: 4-5-2-7
Race 5: 10-5-3-1
Race 6: 3-1-8-4 Grade 2 150k Pocahontas Stakes
Race 7: 3-9-4-7 Grade 3 150k Iroquois Stakes
Race 8: 3-4-7-5 Grade 3 100k Locust Grove Handicap
Race 9: 3-5-2-1 Grade 2 100k Ack Ack Handicap
Race 10: 9-5-6-8
Race 11: 11-1-12-10

Horses to Watch:

Belmont Race 7: # 5 Holabird (12-1 ML): This promising looking filly is by Dunkirk, who happens to be one of my favourite up and coming sires. She's run a few fairly average works, but her last one impresses me a little bit, her half brother Ampersand a colt by city zip has been less than impressive in his 19 starts but he shows both early speed and closing tactics, he was also able to win in Maiden Special Weight class in the NYRA. Dunkirk also showed both early speed and closing tactics, but in big races he showed a lot of early speed and good stamina, if this filly inherited even a little of his abilities, 12-1 is going to be a huge overlay, especially when the ML favourites look as beatable as these ones do.

Churchill Downs Race 3: #4 Thanks Bro (5-1 ML): Plain and simple, this horse is win shy. The 2010 colt by Brother Derek has started 8 times and placed in them 5 times, all 5 of them in his 7 starts this year. The two times hes has missed the board he just seemed unlucky and tired. He's caught a weak field and the drop from Maiden Special Weight to 50k Maiden Claimer, and if he runs like hes proven he can he should have no trouble breaking his maiden here.

Churchill Downs Race 7: #3 Rise Up (5-1 ML): This colt really isn't all that well bred but he runs like he is, first time out at Presque Isle he finished 2nd in a MSW, next time out, still at Presque Isle, he wins it by 4 and 1/2 lengths. They ship him to Mountaineer to run in the Mountaineer Juvenile Stakes and he wins by just short of 5 lengths. He shows ALOT of early speed, and once he gets to the lead he seems to not like to give it up, and not only does he not like giving it up, he actually likes to try and embarrass the rest of the field. He's making the step up to Graded company and I think he can win the Win and your in Iroquois stakes, Im looking to see this guy on Breeders Cup day.

Churchill Downs Race 8: #3 Magic Hour (6-1 ML): This filly ran huge last time, she placed in the Grade 2 Gardenia Stakes at Ellis Park at odds of 27-1. She ran in that race coming off another place finish in the ungraded Iowa Distaff, and before that she won the Wayword Lass Stakes at Tampa Bay. Shes proven she can run big in big races, I can really see her running another huge race here.

Churchill Downs Race 11: #11 Fire Starter (6-1 ML): A 300k Keeneland yearling purchase on top of the 125k sires fee, there are huge expectations on the table for this colt. His works aren't great, but they have not been bad he seems to not like the gate all that much but I expect his experience with them now should make for a better gate time, they've been preparing this horse for this race obviously because he has been working every week since July 15th, he's very well bred, he's in an average field, and he's fresh and ready to go, lets see him run big.

Enjoy the Races, they're going to be fantastic!

Wednesday racing at Woodbine and Saratoga

Its always a good day at Ajax downs, never the less it coulda been better, my best pick of the day was picking Corderoy Road to win the first ever Picov Derby, over a tough looking Bye me one Kool Bud, and a struggling Carter's Secret. I'm looking forward to the 3rd of September when my barn will be running 5 horses down at Ajax, as always, I will most definitely handicapping that day. In the mean time we have two very nice cards of racing on tap. At Woodbine they're holding their regular Wednesday night card with a twist, 6 of the 8 races are ungraded stakes! At Saratoga there's a rather average afternoon card with 2 of the 10 being ungraded stakes, lets see what we can make of it shall we.

Saratoga

Race 1: 3-7-8-2
Race 2: 7-6-1-4
Race 3: 3-8-6-4

Race 4: 2-6-3-4 100k My Flag Stakes
Race 5: 6-5-3-8
Race 6: 1-9-8-7
Race 7: 9-7-10-3
Race 8: 4-1-6-7 100k P.G. Johnson Stakes
Race 9: 5-8-10-3
Race 10: 6-10-12

Horse to watch at Saratoga 
RACE 4: #2 Skyfall ( 5-1 ML ): This filly is 4-1-1-1 this year, she got a decent morning line and could be tough throughout, if she doesn't get ridden into a bad spot or get herself in to a vicious speed duel she will be a major contender in the race.

Woodbine 

Race 1: 2-8-10-3
Race 2: 3-8-7-10 125k Halton Stakes
Race 3: 3-2-1-4 125k Kenora Stakes
Race 4: 4-1-3-2 125k Elgin Stakes
Race 5: 1-3-5-6 200k Muskoka Stakes
Race 6: 4-2-5-3 200k Simcoe Stakes
Race 7: 5-6-7-9 125k Algoma Stakes 
Race 8: 7-5-4-6

Horse to watch
Race 2: #3 D's Perfect Soul (12-1 ML): Informed today that this favourite of mine was sold for $700 dollars in the 2009 sale at woodbine, he ran HUGE in his last race, running for his second win in the season, he also ran a really nice race when he placed in a maiden special weight way back in april. I'm looking at him to run real well.