As promised my Woodbine selections are here this morning. Don'f forget to check out my Saratoga picks on this beautiful Travers day, lucky me , I get to work the whole day. Let's see what I can get done for our Canadian track.
Woodbine
Race 1: 2-1-4-5
Race 2: 3C-1-6-2
Race 3: 5-4-1-6
Race 4: 3-5-1-6
Race 5: 11-7-3-1
Race 6: 2-1A-3-7
Race 7: 6-8-7-2
Race 8: 7-4-6-2 125k Swynford stakes
Race 9: 2-4-1-7
Race 10: 1-1A-7-9
Best Bet:
Race 10: The 1 Entry ( ML 3-1 ): These two horses coming out of the Sam-Son Farms stable are both well bred, winning horses. Both are coming into their 6th start lifetime. They're having really good years and I'm looking at them to completely dominate this race.
Horse to watch
Race 8: #7 Spadina Road ( 3-1 ML ): This colt by Where's the ring is undefeated in one start he's been working nice and looks tough to me in this race, 3-1 isn't the price I expect him to have come post time, with some luck he'll go up in price to about 5-1 maybe 6-1 if were lucky even higher.
Officeinthevalley: Now I considered just putting this horse in my horse to watch section but, instead I'm going to write a little article on him. He's a 2007 gelding who has been in retirement for the last two years, and I can't seem to find any reason as to why they wouldn't leave him that way ( they being Buttigieg training center ), you have an old horse on your hands who's a decent stakes winner before he retires, now you bring him back and throw him in the fire. He's now in a lower class claiming event because he doesn't have the class he had before and odds are if they get away without losing him this time, next time he could get claimed, and then what, he's gone and you probably ruin the horse.
I mean lets be honest, when you take a horse out of retirement they aren't ready to race, that's just how it is, racing is behind them, and I get it, he's a gelding and all he's doing is costing you money because to a race stable, he's utterly useless, in my opinion if you don't want him any more then sell him to pleasure riders, but by all means, don't take a horse out of retirement just so somebody else takes him off your hands. You retired him for a reason, he didn't have the same edge in his four year old year, that and probably a few other factors, maybe bone chips, injuries, whatever, point is, if you had a reason to retire him then, what's changed? Yeah maybe the bone chips or injuries are gone (assuming those are factors), but he still doesn't have the edge, he hasn't raced in two years and hes going against horses who have run all year, he's going to have a tough time, and I just think he should still be enjoying his easy going retirement life, maybe that's just me.
However this is just my opinion and I guess we'll find out how he runs and if I'm wrong or not. I mean it's completely possible that they just think he can race again, and the fact of the matter is that he's just in claiming class now, I really don't know, but if it was me the horse would still be retired.
Anyways thats all I have to say about that.
Enjoy the races folks, don't forget to read my Saratoga Travers day picks, in the article I wrote before this one.'
Talk to ya later
Showing posts with label Handicapping. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Handicapping. Show all posts
Saturday, 24 August 2013
Friday, 23 August 2013
Saturday Racing Saratoga
Well it was a very frustrating day today at both Saratoga and Woodbine, I will be taking Sunday off, however tomorrow is Travers Day at Saratoga and it will be the best card at Saratoga of the entire year. Theres an okay card at Woodbine, I'll be focusing my attention on both Saratoga and Woodbine. Hopefully we do better than today.
Saratoga
Race 1: 3-7-1-5
Race 2: 7-11-10-5
Race 3: 2-9-1-5
Race 4: 12-7-11-1
Race 5: 10-8-9-12
Race 6: 7-10-6-5
Race 7: 5-12-3-1
Race 8: 2-4-6-7
Race 9: 5-9-8-6 500k Grade 1 Test Stakes
Race 10: 4-1-5-6 250K Grade 11 Ketel One Ballston Spa Stakes
Race 11: 2-10-5-9 500k Grade 1 Foxwoods King's Bishop Stakes
Race 12: 2-3-8-7 1 MILLION DOLLAR Grade 1 Travers Stakes
Race 13: 3-7-4-5
Race 14: 1-6-8-11
Horses to watch
Race 1: # 5 Dads Caps ( 12-1 ML ): This quick colt by Discreet cat has won his last two times out, hes in really tough today, I put him fourth in this race because he's coming out of an Allowance Optional Claimer and I'm not sure he has the class to run here, but he's got the speed, if he can use it to his advantage he could hit the top four for sure.
Race 2: #7 Scam ( 5-1 ML ): Coming off a nice third place finish, this colt by Giant's Causeway got a good morning line, for a horse that stands a real shot at hitting the board. He ran a 78 speed figure his first time out, in a tough Maiden Special Weight , Castellano retains the mount, and he gets a good one here.
Race 3: #1 Sycamore Lane ( 15-1 ML ): This debut runner for Gainesway Stable has put in a few really nice works on the Saratoga property, not the best of which was on the turf, he still ran a nice 48.55 seconds going four furlongs in his first turf workout, if he can repeat his speed from that workout his 15-1 price will make you a very happy person, this horse has me sitting on the fence though because his workouts on Belmont's dirt have been shotty at best, although all four of his works at saratoga were fantastic, and based on his breeding he should be really nice, if Junior Alvarado gives him the best trip he can, this colt has a shot in this one.
Race 8: #2 Rapscallion ( 8-1 ML ): His last outing was a maiden special weight at Saratoga, which he won by 2 and 1/4 lengths, after finishing third and second at Delaware Park, either he got lucky or he likes running at Saratoga, lucky him, hes back there to run again slightly harder. Odds are though that this horse improves yet again and manages to hit the top three, he looks pretty tough. \
Race 12: #2 Orb ( 4-1 ML ): You know who he is, some say he had the best shot to win the triple crown in 37 years, He's back for the first time since the Belmont, and the Kentucky derby winner has been preparing for this race, while Palace Malice and Verrazano have been racing the whole time. Orb's well rested, he's not the favourite, and we have to assume he's ready to go, most people are going to bet Palace Malice and Verrazano, because yes they're both very hot, but expect Orb to go up in price, and run a big race.
Ladies and Gentleman my woodbine picks will come tomorrow morning, enjoy this truly awesome Saratoga Card.
Saratoga
Race 1: 3-7-1-5
Race 2: 7-11-10-5
Race 3: 2-9-1-5
Race 4: 12-7-11-1
Race 5: 10-8-9-12
Race 6: 7-10-6-5
Race 7: 5-12-3-1
Race 8: 2-4-6-7
Race 9: 5-9-8-6 500k Grade 1 Test Stakes
Race 10: 4-1-5-6 250K Grade 11 Ketel One Ballston Spa Stakes
Race 11: 2-10-5-9 500k Grade 1 Foxwoods King's Bishop Stakes
Race 12: 2-3-8-7 1 MILLION DOLLAR Grade 1 Travers Stakes
Race 13: 3-7-4-5
Race 14: 1-6-8-11
Horses to watch
Race 1: # 5 Dads Caps ( 12-1 ML ): This quick colt by Discreet cat has won his last two times out, hes in really tough today, I put him fourth in this race because he's coming out of an Allowance Optional Claimer and I'm not sure he has the class to run here, but he's got the speed, if he can use it to his advantage he could hit the top four for sure.
Race 2: #7 Scam ( 5-1 ML ): Coming off a nice third place finish, this colt by Giant's Causeway got a good morning line, for a horse that stands a real shot at hitting the board. He ran a 78 speed figure his first time out, in a tough Maiden Special Weight , Castellano retains the mount, and he gets a good one here.
Race 3: #1 Sycamore Lane ( 15-1 ML ): This debut runner for Gainesway Stable has put in a few really nice works on the Saratoga property, not the best of which was on the turf, he still ran a nice 48.55 seconds going four furlongs in his first turf workout, if he can repeat his speed from that workout his 15-1 price will make you a very happy person, this horse has me sitting on the fence though because his workouts on Belmont's dirt have been shotty at best, although all four of his works at saratoga were fantastic, and based on his breeding he should be really nice, if Junior Alvarado gives him the best trip he can, this colt has a shot in this one.
Race 8: #2 Rapscallion ( 8-1 ML ): His last outing was a maiden special weight at Saratoga, which he won by 2 and 1/4 lengths, after finishing third and second at Delaware Park, either he got lucky or he likes running at Saratoga, lucky him, hes back there to run again slightly harder. Odds are though that this horse improves yet again and manages to hit the top three, he looks pretty tough. \
Race 12: #2 Orb ( 4-1 ML ): You know who he is, some say he had the best shot to win the triple crown in 37 years, He's back for the first time since the Belmont, and the Kentucky derby winner has been preparing for this race, while Palace Malice and Verrazano have been racing the whole time. Orb's well rested, he's not the favourite, and we have to assume he's ready to go, most people are going to bet Palace Malice and Verrazano, because yes they're both very hot, but expect Orb to go up in price, and run a big race.
Ladies and Gentleman my woodbine picks will come tomorrow morning, enjoy this truly awesome Saratoga Card.
Thursday, 22 August 2013
Friday Racing: Saratoga, Woodbine, and Los Alamitos
Well after a pretty nice day at Saratoga and currently doing alright at Remington, I'm back for my third straight day of picks. On my busiest afternoon of the week I've found time to handicap three tracks, Los Alamitos, Woodbine and Saratoga, yet again. The card at Saratoga includes the Grade 1 500,000 dollar Ballerina Stake, and to finish the day off we have a nice Quarter Horse card at Los Al. Lets see what I can do for ya.
Saratoga
Race 1: 5-7-1-2
Race 2: 2-3-5-6
Race 3: 1-5-2-7
Race 4: 1-8-7-9
Race 5: 7-1-2-3
Race 6: 4-1-3-8
Race 7: 3-1-6-7
Race 8: 8-5-2-3
Race 9: 1-6-10-5
Race 10: 12-11-2-3
Best Bet:
Race 4: #1 Yo Blue (6-5 ML ): This is a three year old gelding by Johannesburg out of Sparkling blue, He's coming out of a very tough starter optional claiming 75k where he finished fourth but he just dropped from the second spot, before that he hit the board 5 starts in a row, 4 of them being wins. He should be really tough in this field, if he can handle the distance this time out, he wins.
Horse to watch:
Race 10: #12 King of Broadway (6-1 ML) : A three year old colt by Sky Mesa, King of Broadway has been putting in some nice works and finished second in a Maiden Special Weight his last time out to a hot Sliver and Onions, I think if King of Broadway hits a good stride he wins it.
Woodbine
Race 1: 3-4-5-1A
Race 2: 1-5-3-7
Race 3: 6-2-4-1
Race 4: 1-5-6-2
Race 5: 11-8-2-7
Race 6: 3-9-1-4
Race 7: 8-3-5-4
Race 8: 3-4-1-5
Race 9: 10-2-1-3
Best Bet:
Race 1: #3 Seawatch ( ML 6-5 ): This gelding by Woodman has hit the board 8 of hit last 10 and hit the board each of his last 6, winning 3 of them and finishing 2nd the other three times. He's in a fairly easy starter allowance for horses who have started for 12.5k or less this year, Seawatch has dominated this year, he's got Luis Contreras aboard and , Luis would have to have a really terrible ride for this horse to lose, count on him winning.
Horses to watch:
Race 1: #4 Mail Order Groom ( 6-1 ML ): This horse has been in my sights since I first saw him race a few months ago. Coming off for straight board hits, and a win in his last one, a second before that and two thirds before that. He's running real well this year and I think he will run a big race here.
Race 4: #1 Peggy'sanexecutive ( 9-2 ML ): A three year old filly by Bold Executive, she could be having a much better year, but shes dropping class for the second straight race, before this she ran in a 25k claimer and before that was Maiden Special Weight, she could find her class here and be a big factor here, her last out was against a few real tough claimers and if they gave her another shot at that level she might do a little better, but she should have an easier time here, don't underestimate her.
Los Alamitos
Race 1: 5-1-4-2
Race 2: 6-1-5-4
Race 3: 4-2-5-3
Race 4: 5-3-1-4
Race 5: 6-1-2-3
Race 6: 6-7-4-3
Race 7: 1-4-6-5
Race 8: 8-1-6-9
Race 9: 4-3-1-6
Best bet:
Race 9: #4 Runaway Foose: Finished second in tough maiden her first time out, this filly by Foose is really nicely bred to bat, expect her to run a big race, she's in tough but she was really impressive her first time out, she should be the best in this group.
Horse to Watch:
Race 8: #8 Royal Regard (4-1 ML ): This 3 year old gelding by Chicks Regard is 3-1-1-1 this year, hes been really hot, beaten late by the #1 and the #5 in this race in his last race, he ran a winning race and still lost however and I think he'll take advantage of the second chance here.
Good Luck to all placing bets, enjoy the races folks!
Saratoga Race 1: 5-7-1-2
Race 2: 2-3-5-6
Race 3: 1-5-2-7
Race 4: 1-8-7-9
Race 5: 7-1-2-3
Race 6: 4-1-3-8
Race 7: 3-1-6-7
Race 8: 8-5-2-3
Race 9: 1-6-10-5
Race 10: 12-11-2-3
Best Bet:
Race 4: #1 Yo Blue (6-5 ML ): This is a three year old gelding by Johannesburg out of Sparkling blue, He's coming out of a very tough starter optional claiming 75k where he finished fourth but he just dropped from the second spot, before that he hit the board 5 starts in a row, 4 of them being wins. He should be really tough in this field, if he can handle the distance this time out, he wins.
Horse to watch:
Race 10: #12 King of Broadway (6-1 ML) : A three year old colt by Sky Mesa, King of Broadway has been putting in some nice works and finished second in a Maiden Special Weight his last time out to a hot Sliver and Onions, I think if King of Broadway hits a good stride he wins it.
Woodbine
Race 1: 3-4-5-1ARace 2: 1-5-3-7
Race 3: 6-2-4-1
Race 4: 1-5-6-2
Race 5: 11-8-2-7
Race 6: 3-9-1-4
Race 7: 8-3-5-4
Race 8: 3-4-1-5
Race 9: 10-2-1-3
Best Bet:
Race 1: #3 Seawatch ( ML 6-5 ): This gelding by Woodman has hit the board 8 of hit last 10 and hit the board each of his last 6, winning 3 of them and finishing 2nd the other three times. He's in a fairly easy starter allowance for horses who have started for 12.5k or less this year, Seawatch has dominated this year, he's got Luis Contreras aboard and , Luis would have to have a really terrible ride for this horse to lose, count on him winning.
Horses to watch:
Race 1: #4 Mail Order Groom ( 6-1 ML ): This horse has been in my sights since I first saw him race a few months ago. Coming off for straight board hits, and a win in his last one, a second before that and two thirds before that. He's running real well this year and I think he will run a big race here.
Race 4: #1 Peggy'sanexecutive ( 9-2 ML ): A three year old filly by Bold Executive, she could be having a much better year, but shes dropping class for the second straight race, before this she ran in a 25k claimer and before that was Maiden Special Weight, she could find her class here and be a big factor here, her last out was against a few real tough claimers and if they gave her another shot at that level she might do a little better, but she should have an easier time here, don't underestimate her.
Los Alamitos Race 1: 5-1-4-2
Race 2: 6-1-5-4
Race 3: 4-2-5-3
Race 4: 5-3-1-4
Race 5: 6-1-2-3
Race 6: 6-7-4-3
Race 7: 1-4-6-5
Race 8: 8-1-6-9
Race 9: 4-3-1-6
Best bet:
Race 9: #4 Runaway Foose: Finished second in tough maiden her first time out, this filly by Foose is really nicely bred to bat, expect her to run a big race, she's in tough but she was really impressive her first time out, she should be the best in this group.
Horse to Watch:
Race 8: #8 Royal Regard (4-1 ML ): This 3 year old gelding by Chicks Regard is 3-1-1-1 this year, hes been really hot, beaten late by the #1 and the #5 in this race in his last race, he ran a winning race and still lost however and I think he'll take advantage of the second chance here.
Good Luck to all placing bets, enjoy the races folks!
Tuesday, 20 August 2013
Wednesday racing at Saratoga and Woodbine
Hey folks! I see you've found my blog, this here is my first post, thanks for taking a look!
As you already know tomorrow is Wednesday which means there's a rather Fort Erie comparable card on for tomorrow night at woodbine, however seeing as I have nothing better to do I figure I may as well handicap it. I'm recently coming off a long ( very needed ) but long handicapping break. I hope to get back on a roll like I was when I started my handicapping hobby. Any who Good luck if you're placing any bets! Here are my selections
Race 1: 2-13-1-3
Race 2: 4-9-8-5
Race 3: 4-2-1-8
Race 4: 7-1-8-4
Race 5: 6-2-4-5
Race 6: 3-7-5-4
Race 7: 2-4-5-9
Race 8: 7-1-3-2
Best Bet:
Race 6 ML Favourite (8/5) Northern Label #3 finds himself back in a 32k claiming event in a field that should really give him no trouble at all. The colt is coming off a win in another 32k claimer on August 5th. This horse got the shot in a maiden special weight two starts ago finishing dead last, got dropped back to the maiden claimer finished second and is back again to give it another shot, 7 furlongs looks good for this horse and if Orion's Song doesn't hit is very best stride, theres no stopping Northern Label.
Horse(s) to watch:
#7 Dabblemup (8-1) (R4): This three year old son of Star Dabbler has come down from Tampa Bay and is running in his third start at Woodbine. Coming off a second place finish in a 25k claiming event, this class drop should really give this horse his opportunity to win. In 6 starts this year he's finished 2nd in 4 of them , its about time for this horse to win one.
Saratoga
So Wednesday afternoon at Saratoga is the final leg of the NY Bred triple crown the Albany stakes, and the colt that won the first two legs, Amberjack, is back to prove his dominance and win it. Now it goes with out saying that The NY Bred triple crown is not nearly as big of an accomplishment as either the Canadian triple crown or the better known regular triple crown, it is a big accomplishment. Besides that there is the 100k dance of life stakes for three year olds, so lets see what we can do!
Race 1: 7-2-6-1
Race 2: 6-5-3-2
Race 3: 4-2-5-3
Race 4: 1-7-6-3 The 100k Dance of Life Stakes
Race 5: 7-2-5-4
Race 6: 6-4-2-9
Race 7: 6-4-3-1
Race 8: 3-6-5-2
Race 9: 4-6-2-3 The 150k Albany Stakes
Race 10: 3-4-6-8
AE Pick:
Race 8: #11 Super Sky (5-2) I've been following this filly since she sold at the keeneland sale earlier this year, shes put in some nice works and came a nice third, apart from breaking in the air she had a really nice first trip in the Maiden Special Weight on July 22nd. If this filly gets in the race expect her to be a big factor.
Best Bet:
Race 9: #4 Amberjack (4-5) This three year old son of Indygo Shiner is here to prove how dominate he is, this is the third leg of the NY Bred triple crown, he's won the first two legs of it. The only time this horse didnt hit the board he was listed as DNF, he was eased up toward the finish in a NW1X Op claimer, fortunately he has been able to keep form and has never truly missed the board. He is truly your best bet.
Horse to watch:
Race 9: #6 Go Get the Basil although Amberjack should win, if a horse can take it away from him its this guy. He's 6-1-2-1 this year, and although he finished behind a solid Smooth Bert, he should thrive on the distance and rally up to second or third, definitely a horse to try in your exactor/triactor/superfecta.
As you already know tomorrow is Wednesday which means there's a rather Fort Erie comparable card on for tomorrow night at woodbine, however seeing as I have nothing better to do I figure I may as well handicap it. I'm recently coming off a long ( very needed ) but long handicapping break. I hope to get back on a roll like I was when I started my handicapping hobby. Any who Good luck if you're placing any bets! Here are my selections
Race 1: 2-13-1-3
Race 2: 4-9-8-5Race 3: 4-2-1-8
Race 4: 7-1-8-4
Race 5: 6-2-4-5
Race 6: 3-7-5-4
Race 7: 2-4-5-9
Race 8: 7-1-3-2
Best Bet:
Race 6 ML Favourite (8/5) Northern Label #3 finds himself back in a 32k claiming event in a field that should really give him no trouble at all. The colt is coming off a win in another 32k claimer on August 5th. This horse got the shot in a maiden special weight two starts ago finishing dead last, got dropped back to the maiden claimer finished second and is back again to give it another shot, 7 furlongs looks good for this horse and if Orion's Song doesn't hit is very best stride, theres no stopping Northern Label.
Horse(s) to watch:
#7 Dabblemup (8-1) (R4): This three year old son of Star Dabbler has come down from Tampa Bay and is running in his third start at Woodbine. Coming off a second place finish in a 25k claiming event, this class drop should really give this horse his opportunity to win. In 6 starts this year he's finished 2nd in 4 of them , its about time for this horse to win one.
Saratoga
So Wednesday afternoon at Saratoga is the final leg of the NY Bred triple crown the Albany stakes, and the colt that won the first two legs, Amberjack, is back to prove his dominance and win it. Now it goes with out saying that The NY Bred triple crown is not nearly as big of an accomplishment as either the Canadian triple crown or the better known regular triple crown, it is a big accomplishment. Besides that there is the 100k dance of life stakes for three year olds, so lets see what we can do!
Race 1: 7-2-6-1
Race 2: 6-5-3-2
Race 3: 4-2-5-3
Race 4: 1-7-6-3 The 100k Dance of Life Stakes
Race 5: 7-2-5-4
Race 6: 6-4-2-9
Race 7: 6-4-3-1
Race 8: 3-6-5-2
Race 9: 4-6-2-3 The 150k Albany Stakes
Race 10: 3-4-6-8
AE Pick:
Race 8: #11 Super Sky (5-2) I've been following this filly since she sold at the keeneland sale earlier this year, shes put in some nice works and came a nice third, apart from breaking in the air she had a really nice first trip in the Maiden Special Weight on July 22nd. If this filly gets in the race expect her to be a big factor.
Best Bet:
Race 9: #4 Amberjack (4-5) This three year old son of Indygo Shiner is here to prove how dominate he is, this is the third leg of the NY Bred triple crown, he's won the first two legs of it. The only time this horse didnt hit the board he was listed as DNF, he was eased up toward the finish in a NW1X Op claimer, fortunately he has been able to keep form and has never truly missed the board. He is truly your best bet.
Horse to watch:
Race 9: #6 Go Get the Basil although Amberjack should win, if a horse can take it away from him its this guy. He's 6-1-2-1 this year, and although he finished behind a solid Smooth Bert, he should thrive on the distance and rally up to second or third, definitely a horse to try in your exactor/triactor/superfecta.
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